On October 23, 2024, the Bank of Canada announced a 50-basis-point reduction to its policy rate, bringing it down to 3.75%. While this may not seem monumental at first glance, it could have some implications for homeowners and potential buyers, particularly when it comes to borrowing costs and real estate activity.

What’s Behind the Rate Cut?

The decision to cut the policy rate comes as inflation slows and economic growth shows signs of moderation. September’s inflation rate was recorded at 1.6%, a significant step down from earlier levels, and growth has slowed across various sectors. The Bank aims to support the economy by making borrowing more accessible, which can influence everything from mortgages to consumer spending.

What Could This Mean for Homeowners?

For homeowners, this reduction might lead to lower variable mortgage rates, which could translate to smaller monthly payments. If you have a fixed-rate mortgage, this announcement may not have an immediate impact, but it could affect the rate landscape when it’s time to renew.

How Could This Impact Home Buyers?

For buyers, reduced borrowing costs might make purchasing a home more accessible. With lower rates, monthly payments could be more manageable, potentially improving affordability. However, the dynamics of the real estate market are influenced by many factors, like inventory, demand, and location-specific conditions, especially in regions like Greater Victoria.

What’s Next?

The Bank of Canada has signaled that further rate adjustments could occur, depending on economic performance and inflation trends. While no one can predict with certainty what the next few months will bring, it’s wise to stay informed and consider how evolving rates might align with your personal circumstances. The next announcement is scheduled for December 11, 2024.

For the latest updates, you can visit the Bank of Canada’s website.

As we move into the final quarter of 2024, the Victoria real estate market continues to maintain its balance. Whether you're considering buying or selling or simply keeping an eye on local trends, September’s data offers valuable insights into what’s happening in the region. This update breaks down the key statistics and market dynamics to help you understand what the numbers mean for you.

Sales Activity: Consistent Growth

September was an active month in Victoria’s real estate market, with 571 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region September 2024, which represents a 15.8% increase from September 2023 and a 4.8% rise from August 2024. This growth signals a steady and sustainable pace, rather than the dramatic shifts seen in previous years.

• Single-family homes saw a total of 272 sales, marking a 19.3% increase compared to last year.

• Condominiums had a strong performance as well, with 189 units sold—an increase of 21.9% year-over-year.

Overall, the market is seeing healthy levels of activity, reflecting steady interest from both buyers and sellers.

Balanced Market: Fewer Extremes

One of the standout characteristics of the current market is its balance. The Victoria real estate market is no longer experiencing the sharp swings that often come with either a buyers’ or sellers’ market. Instead, there’s a more even distribution of power between both sides.

This balance is reflected in the Sales to Active Listings Ratio, which sits in the 14-20% range. Markets with a ratio above 20% typically favor sellers, while those below 14% lean toward buyers. Sitting comfortably in the middle, Victoria’s market offers both sides a level playing field, with neither experiencing undue pressure to make rushed decisions.

Inventory Levels: More Selection for Buyers

One positive trend for those looking to purchase is the rise in inventory. September 2024 ended with 3,361 active listings, representing a 5.3% increase compared to August 2024 and a 24.5% rise compared to the same month last year​. This increase gives buyers more options and allows for a more deliberate decision-making process, rather than feeling pressured by a scarcity of choices.

In balanced markets like this, properties typically stay on the market longer, and buyers have more time to explore their options. With less urgency, it’s a good time to take a step back and assess the choices available without rushing into a purchase.

Even though the market has found more balance, homes that are priced right and stand out in terms of location, design, or condition are still moving quickly. We’re seeing that when a property ticks all the right boxes—whether it's a prime location, a beautifully updated interior, or a competitive price—there’s still strong demand. In some cases, this can lead to multiple offers, especially for those homes that capture buyers' attention from the start. So, while the market overall has began to see more balanced conditions, the most desirable homes are still generating plenty of interest and may not stay available for long.

Pricing Trends: Slight Declines

On the pricing front, the Victoria market is seeing some minor adjustments. Prices have softened slightly, but not drastically:

• The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) benchmark value for a single-family home in the Victoria Core was $1,279,700 in September 2024, down 2.8% from $1,316,100 in September 2023. This is also marginally lower than the $1,287,400 recorded in August 2024.

• For condominiums in the Victoria Core, the benchmark value stood at $553,400, a 5.1% decrease from September 2023​.

These moderate price shifts align with the overall balanced market conditions. There’s no extreme pressure driving prices up or down, allowing the market to remain stable.

Interest Rates: A Factor to Consider

Interest rates continue to influence buyer activity. Recently, rates have shown slight declines, which has brought some relief to those looking to finance their home purchases. Lower borrowing costs are making it more feasible for buyers to enter the market or upgrade their current living situation.

This has helped to keep demand steady, without creating the overheated conditions of earlier periods. The ability to secure a mortgage at a more favorable rate has likely contributed to the overall rise in sales, even as prices show modest declines.

Looking Ahead: Market Stability Continues

For the remainder of 2024, the Victoria real estate market is expected to remain in this balanced state. Increased inventory and stable prices should help sustain this equilibrium.

While the overall market is balanced, it’s important to note that there are still situations where competition may arise. Well-priced homes in highly desirable areas or with unique features can still attract multiple offers. However, for properties in other circumstances, the balanced market allows both buyers and sellers to move at a more measured pace.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Keep in Mind

In the current market, both buyers and sellers can benefit from thoughtful planning and a clear understanding of market conditions.

• For Buyers:

  • Take advantage of the increased inventory and stable prices to find a home that suits your needs. Consider your options carefully.

  • Be aware that while most properties may allow for more time to decide, well-priced homes in key areas can still attract competition.

  • Keep an eye on interest rates and secure pre-approval to understand what you can afford before beginning your home search.

• For Sellers:

  • Pricing your property correctly is crucial in a balanced market. Overpricing can result in extended time on the market, while a well-priced home will generate interest from serious buyers.

  • Make sure your home is presented in its best light, from being fully prepared to list to marketing materials. With more inventory available, you’ll want to make sure your property stands out.

  • Be prepared for a measured pace of offers. Properties may take slightly longer to sell in a balanced market, but with the right approach, the right buyer will come along.

Final Thoughts on Victoria’s Real Estate Market

September 2024 reflects a real estate market that’s more stable and balanced, providing opportunities for both buyers and sellers. With more inventory, moderate pricing, and lower interest rates, it’s a good time to carefully consider your options, whether you're thinking of buying or selling.

As the year progresses, staying informed about the trends and adjusting your approach based on market conditions will help ensure successful outcomes. This balanced market offers a chance for more thoughtful and deliberate decision-making—whether you're entering the market, staying put, or simply observing the trends.

Thinking about making a move in the Greater Victoria area? Connect with us to set up a complimentary, no-obligation consultation.

Information provided by the Victoria Real Estate Board  September 2024 statistics package.